Today’s four exit polls have accorded a clear victory to thirty one year old former Bihar chief minister, jailed Lalu Yadav’s son Tejasvi Yadav, who’s also the chief of RJD led Grand Alliance, leading ahead the anti BJP – JDU Mahagathbandhan Bihar, unambiguously showing the door to the incumbent chief minister Nitish Kumar ruling Bihar, for the last 15 years with the saffron party.
It seems that the Bihar chief minister’s last announcement cum wish in Purnia that this election would be his last political battle, is being likely to be fulfilled.
According to the four opinion polls of Republic TV- Jan ki Baat, Dainik Bhaskar, India Today – Axis my India and Newsx-dvreasearch, except Dainik Bhaskar, all the three opinion exit polls have given Tejasvi Yadav led grand alliance, the majority, to rule Bihar, unambiguously declaring the former cricketer turned undergraduate politician Tejasvi Yadav as the next chief minister of Bihar, the state earlier ruled for 13 protracted years by his father Laloo Prasad Yadav, currently in Jail in connection with the multi crore fodder scam of the state.
According to the India Today-Axis my India opinion poll, while the Rashtriya Janata Dal led grand alliance have been given 139 to 161 seats, the ruling BJP n JDU alliance have been accorded merely 69 to 91 seats with the Lok Janashakti party winning in 3 to 5 assembly constituencies n others getting 6 to 10 seats.
The News X-dvresearch survey has given RJD led alliance 108 to 123 seats with BJP getting 110 to 117 and LJP 4 to 10 seats while others getting 8 to 23.
The Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat opinion poll survey gives RJD plus Congress etc 118 to 135 seats whereas the BJP – JDU combine has been given 91 to 117 seats with LJP 5 to 8 and 3 to 6 to others.
However, the Dainik Bhasker has in its survey given a clear cut edge to BJP n JDU according the ruling combine 120 to 127 seats and the RJD, led grand alliance, merely 71 to 81 and LJP 12 to 23 seats with 19 to 27 to others.
There are total 243 seats in Bihar Assembly and whichever party or combination gets 122 seats will be able to stake claim to form the next government.
Though the results of exit polls have sometimes been failures but in majority of the cases they proved to be correct as far as the question of showing the political trend is concerned.
In Bihar while Nitish Kumar has ruled for fifteen long years there seems to be his popularity crossing the saturation point including his government also facing the incumbency trend, with the state’s electorates, desperately wanting to go for a change under the youthful, enthusiastic and energetic leadership of thirty year old leader Tejesvi Yadav.
The burning issues of unemployment, sufferings of the migrant labourers n the working class of Bihar during the pandemic lockdown, losing their jobs n shelter, deteriorating health sector n badly suffering hospitals leading to incessant mortalities of patients for want of adequate treatments in Bihar, exploitation and acute sufferings of the farmers, down trodden sections, Dalits, youths, deteriorating educational standard of the state, unfulfiled commitments of Nitish Kumar with skyrocketing inflation and rhetorical n false promises of PM Modi, BJP ruled centre and lynchings of minorities compounded with large scale unemployment n worsening industrial sector are some of the lacunas that have infuriated n angered the states electorates completely disenchating them to make up their minds for change.
Moreover, the pledge of young n enthusiastic energetic leadership of Tejasvi Yadav and Congress leader Rahul Gandhi’s jodi of emerging dynamic young leadership at the state n national scenerio against rhetorical so called chauvinistic Hindu leadership have also provoked and enthused the Bihar’s backwards, Dalits and minorities to turn their backs towards the saffron leaders and Nitish Kumar of Bihar, finally making up their minds n hearts to go for change, this time.
Ten Lakh jobs commitment of Tejasvi clicked in Bihar more rapidly n effectively, overlapping the 19 lakh job assurances by BJP despite additiinal assurance of giving free anti Covid vaccine to entire Bihar. Sounds unusually surprising. If the exit poll results are to be believed RJD chief Tejasvi Yadav is all set to be crowned as the next youngest chief minister of the state of Bihar.